GOP Senate Candidate Mike Rogers Claims Lead Based on Early Ballots
Mike Rogers, a Republican Senate candidate in Michigan, stated that his campaign's models indicate he is leading by 7 percent based on returned early ballots.
Sioux Falls, SD, October 31, 2026 —
Mike Rogers, a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Michigan, has publicly stated that his campaign’s internal models show him leading in the race. According to the campaign’s assessment, this lead is attributed to the analysis of returned early ballots.
Rogers’ campaign reported a 7 percent advantage based on the early ballot data. The specific methodology or the exact dates covered by these models were not detailed in the statement. The candidate’s campaign did not provide further specifics regarding the projection, such as the total number of ballots analyzed or the margin of error for their models.
Further details about the projections, including the exact criteria used to determine the 7 percent lead and the total number of early ballots factored into the analysis, were not immediately available. The campaign’s announcement centers on their interpretation of early voting data as an indicator of potential election outcomes.
Information regarding the opponent or opponents in the Michigan Senate race was not specified in the statement made by Rogers’ campaign. The precise nature of the models used to generate the 7 percent lead figure remains undisclosed. The campaign’s assertion is based solely on their internal modeling of returned early ballots.
Story summarized from the original created by Suryatapa Chakraborty on thehill.com, see more information here.
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